Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 25.111504 29.038289 33.305253 38.276875 43.900577 50.054570 57.288451
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.883163 23.123359 29.387414 37.381942 47.263790 59.024514 74.022245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.954655 19.728308 27.169973 37.361842 50.838044 67.912989 91.028605
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.439322 17.441889 25.682838 37.646406 54.356111 76.617677 108.214365
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.906053 14.579601 22.840899 35.493977 54.067625 79.951197 118.262859
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.840046 13.631078 22.490802 36.677686 58.370422 89.726056 137.731706
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.144557 13.115139 22.662955 38.566502 63.771109 101.380168 160.664152
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.018878 11.692665 21.191421 37.666153 64.744036 106.464292 174.177094
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.951399 10.181942 19.348013 35.893175 64.072545 108.861153 183.627731
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.707319 10.121144 19.951767 38.251458 70.280081 122.403883 211.283872
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.642720 10.385702 21.147022 41.728218 78.616364 139.891389 246.309613
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.210118 9.851903 20.805988 42.401449 82.147152 149.686352 269.382569
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.646044 8.992900 19.811353 41.897824 83.797374 156.857833 289.334498
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.082664 8.040831 18.519017 40.707260 84.144171 161.927072 306.312079
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.707297 7.438969 17.848448 40.641335 86.554480 170.768906 330.416413
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.413975 6.972405 17.391817 40.939117 89.659266 181.044153 357.698951
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.972810 6.045530 15.783355 38.617163 87.349183 181.140372 366.543693
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.830842 5.866208 15.844991 39.892888 92.401982 195.386284 402.305176
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.746832 5.828275 16.232385 41.928327 99.191031 213.394378 446.184678
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.507302 5.299022 15.348808 40.958139 99.519753 218.803595 466.386705
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.256871 4.677251 14.132424 39.047115 97.605431 219.572991 477.591091
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.232459 4.751460 14.735270 41.588853 105.769206 241.268342 531.229766
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.254687 4.981291 15.783581 45.333816 116.934301 269.779700 599.942536